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Update... 2/25/2025 As projected, Wave (e) has technically been completed. Does this mean the correction is over? The answer is no, for the following reasons: If the rebound holds, we can say the current 5-wave decline structure is complete. However, there's a possibility that the structure could evolve into a 7-wave formation. In this case, we need to watch for Wave (f), which could conclude at the $93,200 level (f = 61.8% a) or the $96,67x level (f=a). Let's see how it plays out! Cheers! CRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTCUSD #Bitcoin #BTC
Australian CPI inflation data (Consumer Price Index) will be released tomorrow at 12:30 am GMT. Based on estimates from Refinitiv, the year-on-year (YY) CPI print is forecast to have risen by 2.5% in January, matching December’s reading (2024). However, the current estimate range remains broad: between a high of 2.9% and a low of 2.1%. RBA: Cautionary Cut Last week, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kicked off its easing cycle, lowering the Cash Rate by 25 basis points (bps) to 4.10% from 4.35%. Citing easing inflationary pressures, the rate cut – its first since 2020 – followed 13 rate hikes that commenced in early 2022. Although the move was widely anticipated, market participants largely viewed the policy move as hawkish; the RBA remained data-dependent and essentially poured cold water on further easing in the immediate term. RBA Governor Bullock also emphasised this in her press conference. Nevertheless, money markets are still eyeing May’s meeting for another 25 bp cut, with another 25 bp reduction potentially in the books at the tail end of the year. The RBA highlighted that the Australian jobs market is tight – interestingly, jobs growth for January grew by 44,000, comfortably surpassing market estimates of a 20,000 gain. Alongside this, underlying inflation forecasts were revised slightly higher. However, on the dovish side of things, as already noted, the central bank recognised that inflation had cooled quicker than expected, wage pressures had eased, and growth was subdued in private demand. AUD/NZD Hovering Ahead of Support A pair I will be monitoring closely is the AUD/NZD cross (Australian dollar versus the New Zealand dollar). The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) pencilled in a third consecutive 50 bp rate cut last week, bringing the Official Cash Rate (OCR) to 3.75% from 4.25%. Unlike the RBA’s cautious tone, the RBNZ struck a dovish stance, noting the scope to ease policy further this year ‘if economic conditions continue to evolve as projected’. Of note, the RBNZ also projected a lower OCR this year than the November 2024 projections, broadly aligning with market pricing. Investors forecast 54 bps worth of cuts this year, with the first 25 bp rate cut possibly as soon as the next meeting in April. In any case, technically, the AUD/NZD pair faded long-term daily resistance from NZ$1.1175 (boasting history as far back as 2018) and recently stepped beneath daily support at NZ$1.1088 (now marked resistance). The next downside support target can be found at NZ$1.1048. While resistance is in play, it is essential to note that the trend remains to the upside, albeit momentum has slowed considerably. Should we see stronger Australian inflation data tomorrow, I will watch for a spike to support from NZ$1.1048 followed by a rebound or a break north of resistance at NZ$1.1088. Given how close these levels are to current price action, immediately attempting to trade out of the risk event could be challenging; the more prudent approach could be to observe price action before pulling the trigger, if at all. Conversely, a downside surprise in the inflation data would have me looking at a break of NZ$1.1048. This could open the door for a short-term selling opportunity towards support at NZ$1.1022. A break lower also makes sense from a technical perspective. The area I highlighted in orange is between NZ$1.1040 and NZ$1.1074 and will likely be viewed as robust demand in light of the base holding firm on 18 February (thanks to the RBA’s hawkish cut). Therefore, with protective stop loss orders likely positioned beneath this zone (sell stops), a break of here could trigger short-term breakout selling towards the next evident support at NZ$1.1022 (which I expect may trigger some profit-taking). Written by FP Markets Market Analyst Aaron Hill
Im Daily Chart finden wir ein klassisches Doppeltop nach Lehrbuch. Eine exakte Nackenlinie und zwei Schlusskurse als High auf praktisch gleicher Höhe. Die Nackenlinie wurde bereits gebrochen und das Ziel dieses klassischen Patterns wäre die einmal die Höhe von der Nackenlinie zum tieferen Top der beiden Tops. Eine Bestätigung der Formation finden wir auch im Volumen. Das zweite Top hat ein deutlich höheres Volumen als das Erste Top. Der Kurs konnte trotzdem nicht höher schliessen was darauf rückschliessen lässt, dass die Bullen an diesem Level absorbiert wurden und die Verkäufer die Überhand übernahmen. Aktuell stehen uns das 0.5 und das 0.618 auf dem weg nach unten im Weg. Unterhalb des 0.5 haben wir noch ein Tief in der Aufwärtsbewegung welches noch nicht unterschritten wurde. Hier könnten sich viele Stopp Loss befinden welche wie Zunder wirken könnten beim auslösen und den Kurs schlagartig ins Ziel der Formation bewegen könnten. https://www.tradingview.com/x/ORns7ETO/
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
We do have some quite larger bull gaps in the lower part of the trading range here for support and you can tell it was support already yesterday And then the 50 Day moving average is above us and you can see that it was resistance yesterday. Top of the trading range has a town gap and a potential 4hr 200MA 30min 200 brawl. Don’t forget to grab this chart - the button under the chart that says “grab this chart” and lets goooo….
NASDAQ:NVDA Nvidia needs to absolutely dominate the market with both earnings and guidance. Last time they beat by 10% and sold off. Right now is a very difficult time in the market. Many tech companies are beating earnings, then selling off. Shay expects Nvidia to report strong earnings, however, he sees Nvidia having a pullback quarter but the timing is uncertain. As long as it holds the 200 MA, he remains in position. Nvidia has cemented its position in the AI and quantum computing thematics, with its CUDA platform and NVDL Link being essential for future workloads. Doubt remains though about lowered AI cloud workloads due to compute restraints. Demand is still way higher than supply, but questions remain surrounding easing of supply constraints and whether Nvidia has another leg left for exponential growth. Here are our key levels to watch through earnings: Under bullish trendline and $130.56, aim for $114. Over bullish trendline and $130.56, aim for $140.
I only see the signs. I hope it's not the case, but it looks like #Bitcoin will soon experience a price correction to around $80K to $75K. Patterns: A breakout of a significant resistance level, which I have marked in the image (Price Action). The opening of the Alligator indicator’s mouth, signaling the swallowing of indicators and the breakout of a large volume of selling fractals formed outside the Alligator’s mouth and below the jawline, along with the occurrence of two red candles (The Fifth Dimension) (Bill Williams). The Awesome Oscillator nearing zero. The breakout of resistance at point B in the chart pattern. The potential targets have been determined based on a cluster of Fibonacci convergence. I have also marked the stop loss for you. Entering this position is your own responsibility. I have already entered. Hoping for good profits.
I have been calling bitcoin to hit $86500 area from the start of the month and even expected a correction like this before then. That is where I anticipate the bottom of the dip will be. I shared an analysis in another idea from then showing how bitcoin always retraces to the fib 38.2 area whenever we get a monthly correction. This is another monthly correction and we have yet to hit that target but went very close...actually arguably it got hit depending on the exchange you look at but I think we'll fall once again and clear all doubts. Looking to scale out 70% at $86500 and full close at $86000
Below is an example of a structured trade plan for CAT using the provided entry and profit levels. This plan uses a scaling-in approach to manage risk and average down the cost basis while planning for profit-taking at multiple targets. Entry Strategy 330: Initial entry level 325: Add on a slight pullback 300: Build additional positions as the price declines further 290: Final accumulation level if the downtrend continues This approach allows you to average into the position gradually, potentially lowering your overall entry cost if the price dips. Profit Targets 350: First profit target, useful for locking in early gains 380: Second target, capturing a larger rebound move 410: Third, more ambitious target for extended upside Setting multiple profit targets can help secure profits progressively while leaving room for further gains if the trend continues. Disclosure The information provided here is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Trading involves substantial risk, including the risk of loss. You should conduct your own research or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Happy trading, and always manage your risk carefully!