When the 50 – day Simple Moving Average (SMA) crosses below the 200 – day SMA it’s called a “Death Cross” and frequently signals additional selling. The S&P 500 (SPX) is close to a Death Cross!
Short Term Elliott Wave view in Silver (XAGUSD) suggests rally from 2.28.2025 low is in progress as a 5 waves impulse. Up from 2.28.2025 low, wave ((i)) ended at 32.76 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 31.79 as a zigzag structure. Down from wave ((i)), wave (a) ended at 32.08 and wave (b) ended at 32.66. Wave (c) lower ended at 31.79 which completed wave ((ii)). Up from there, wave ((iii)) higher unfolded as a 5 waves impulse in lesser degree. Up from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 33.31 and dips in wave (ii) ended at 32.92. Wave (iii) higher ended at 34.08 and pullback in wave (iv) ended at 33.41. The final leg wave (v) ended at 34.23 which completed wave ((iii)) in higher degree. Pullback in wave ((iv)) is proposed complete with internal subdivision as a zigzag. Down from wave ((iii)), wave (a) ended at 33.43 and wave (b) ended at 33.94. Wave (c) lower ended at 33.07 which completed wave ((iv)). Near term, as far as pivot at 31.79 low stays intact, expect pullback to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
In this video, I demonstrate how AriasWave can help identify structures within patterns, even with limited data, to develop trading ideas. I also break down a short trade setup for this newly launched project. Short Entry: At Market. Stop Level: 1.95 Target: 1.47
Gold hit a high of 3057 but was blocked and fell back. The daily line closed with a negative cross star, and a correction is needed in the short term. The daily resistance is near 3050, and it can be shorted if it does not break. At present, gold is still struggling in the range, but the hourly chart has an obvious head and shoulders top trend, with the head at 3057, the shoulder at 3045, and the neckline at 3022. Once the hourly chart stands firmly below 3022, the market is expected to fall further to the 3000 mark. Only by breaking the 3000 mark can it fall better!The gold four-hour line has a continuous large negative line entity, with three negative lines at the top. This is also a bearish engulfing pattern. At least the large negative line entity directly covers the positive line entity, and a top pattern appears. The K-line rebound is weak, and high-level shorts are inevitable. The 3047 line falls back. If the market falls below 3035, continue to look at 3025-3020. In terms of operation, high-level shorts are the main focus. If a new high is unexpectedly reached, it will temporarily fall back. In addition to the 3025 low point, the lower support is 3020, and the strong support is near 3005. If it is touched, it can be more. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold is recommended to be mainly short-selling on rebounds, and supplemented by long positions on pullbacks.
?– 30-Min Chart ? Setup Type: Rising Wedge Breakdown (Bearish Reversal) ? Trade Plan (Short Position) ✅ Entry Zone: Below $8.78 (Breakdown Confirmation) ✅ Stop-Loss (SL): Above $9.52 (Key Resistance Level) ? Take Profit Targets (TPs) ? TP1: $7.81 (Support Level) ? TP2: $6.60 (Key Demand Zone) ? TP3: $6.00 (Major Support & Psychological Level) ? Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation ? Risk (SL Distance): $9.52 - $8.78 = $0.74 risk per trade ? Reward to TP1: $8.78 - $7.81 = $0.97 (1:1.3 R/R) ? Reward to TP2: $8.78 - $6.60 = $2.18 (1:2.95 R/R) ? Reward to TP3: $8.78 - $6.00 = $2.78 (1:3.76 R/R) ✅ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio with strong downside potential! ? Technical Analysis & Strategy ? Rising Wedge Breakdown: Price is breaking below a bearish wedge pattern, signaling weakness. ? Key Resistance Holding: $9.52 acts as a strong rejection zone, reinforcing downside potential. ? Volume Confirmation: Increasing sell volume confirms bearish sentiment. ? Momentum Shift: Loss of upward trend momentum suggests possible trend reversal. ? Trade Execution & Risk Management ✔ Wait for Confirmation: A 30-min candle close below $8.78 strengthens the breakdown. ✔ Adjust Stop-Loss: Move SL to break-even ($8.78) after hitting TP1 ($7.81). ✔ Partial Profit Booking Strategy: ✔ Take 50% profits at TP1 ($7.81) and let the rest run toward TP2 & TP3. ✔ Adjust Stop-Loss to Break-even ($8.78) after TP1 is reached. ⚠️ Risks & Considerations ❌ Fake Breakdown Risk: If price reclaims $8.78, the short setup could be invalidated. ❌ Market Conditions: Low-volume breakdowns may lead to a bounce. ? Final Thoughts ✔ Bearish Setup – Strong downside potential. ✔ Rising Wedge Breakdown – High confluence setup. ✔ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio – 1:3.76 toward TP3. ? Stick to the plan, manage risk, and trade smart! ?? ? #OPRX #ShortTrade #BearishBreakdown #TradingView #ProfittoPath ??
? No VC 1D —weekly short bias still active. ? SOF 1D broken—targeting premium market ~$93.2K+. ? LONGS = risky, SHORTS need a solid entry. Waiting for confirmation. Patience is key. 1️⃣ Short bias still valid No VC 1D buyer = no trend shift yet. SOF 1D broken—expecting continuation to premium zone (~$93.2K+). 2️⃣ LONG scenario (high risk) Only valid on a VC 1H buyer confirmation at 4H support. Otherwise, expect short-term pumps to be liquidity grabs. 3️⃣ SHORT setup (patience required) Need VC 4H seller confirmation during 1D resistance test. If VC 4H seller confirms, expect deeper correction. 4️⃣ Bottom line: LONGs = high risk, only for quick trades. SHORTs = need clean entry, no rush.
? Stock Analysis: HNRG (Hallador Energy Company) – 30-Min Chart ? Setup Type: Rising Wedge Breakdown (Bearish Reversal) ? Trade Plan (Short Position) ✅ Entry Zone: Below $12.56 (Breakdown Confirmation) ✅ Stop-Loss (SL): Above $12.92 (Key Resistance Level) ? Take Profit Targets (TPs) ? TP1: $12.00 (Support Level) ? TP2: $11.54 (Key Demand Zone) ? TP3: $11.00 (Major Support & Psychological Level) ? Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation ? Risk (SL Distance): $12.92 - $12.56 = $0.36 risk per trade ? Reward to TP1: $12.56 - $12.00 = $0.56 (1:1.55 R/R) ? Reward to TP2: $12.56 - $11.54 = $1.02 (1:2.83 R/R) ? Reward to TP3: $12.56 - $11.00 = $1.56 (1:4.33 R/R) ✅ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio with strong downside potential! ? Technical Analysis & Strategy ? Rising Wedge Breakdown: Price is breaking below a bearish wedge pattern, signaling weakness. ? Key Resistance Holding: $12.92 acts as a strong rejection zone, reinforcing downside potential. ? Volume Confirmation: Increasing sell volume confirms bearish sentiment. ? Momentum Shift: Loss of upward trend momentum suggests possible trend reversal. ? Trade Execution & Risk Management ✔ Wait for Confirmation: A 30-min candle close below $12.56 strengthens the breakdown. ✔ Adjust Stop-Loss: Move SL to break-even ($12.56) after hitting TP1 ($12.00). ✔ Partial Profit Booking Strategy: ✔ Take 50% profits at TP1 ($12.00) and let the rest run toward TP2 & TP3. ✔ Adjust Stop-Loss to Break-even ($12.56) after TP1 is reached. ⚠️ Risks & Considerations ❌ Fake Breakdown Risk: If price reclaims $12.56, the short setup could be invalidated. ❌ Market Conditions: Low-volume breakdowns may lead to a bounce. ? Final Thoughts ✔ Bearish Setup – Strong downside potential. ✔ Rising Wedge Breakdown – High confluence setup. ✔ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio – 1:4.33 toward TP3. ? Stick to the plan, manage risk, and trade smart! ?? ? #HNRG #ShortTrade #BearishBreakdown #TradingView #ProfittoPath ??
Looking for any constructive criticisms, happy thoughts, tips, tricks, or any other cool stuff. Looking at the Crypto total market cap excluding bitcoin, it appears to be showing a bullish divergence with the Mkt Cap Total showing lower lows, as the RSI is now showing higher lows. Looks like a Bullish Divergence to me. What do you think? The RSI is a momentum indicator. Please let me know your thoughts. Cheers!
Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 11.8/61.80% Chart time frame: C A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress: A A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Pattern analysis: The high of 56 has not been effectively stabilized, so we continue to try to push it up and continue to short; Intraday analysis ideas: We patiently wait for the point to enter the market again, just hold on to the profit, and there is no need to be too aggressive;