Not sure if this will happen but if it does, what does it mean ? 1. Impact on the US Dollar Strengthens the Dollar: Higher yields attract foreign investors seeking better returns, increasing demand for the US Dollar. Rising yields often coincide with expectations of tighter monetary policy by the Federal Reserve, which further boosts the dollar. 2. Impact on Gold Negative for Gold: Gold is a non-yielding asset, meaning it doesn’t pay interest or dividends. When bond yields rise, the opportunity cost of holding gold increases, making it less attractive. A rising US Dollar (driven by higher yields) also makes gold more expensive in other currencies, reducing global demand. Inflation Hedge Caveat: If rising yields are driven by inflation concerns, gold might still see some demand as a hedge, although its gains are often capped by rising yields. 3. Impact on the Stock Market General Impact: Rising yields increase borrowing costs for companies, reducing profits and potentially slowing down growth. Investors may rotate out of riskier assets like equities into safer Treasuries as yields become more attractive. Value vs. Growth: Value Stocks (e.g., banks, industrials): These may benefit from rising yields as they’re tied to economic growth and inflation expectations. Growth Stocks (e.g., tech companies): These tend to underperform because their valuations depend on future cash flows, which are discounted more heavily as yields rise. 4. Impact on Nasdaq (Tech Stocks) Negative Impact: The Nasdaq is heavily weighted toward growth and tech stocks, which are sensitive to rising yields. Higher yields increase the discount rate used to value future earnings, making high-valuation tech stocks less appealing. Example: Periods of sharply rising yields often coincide with sell-offs in the Nasdaq. 5. Impact on Emerging Markets Outflows from Emerging Markets: Rising US yields can draw capital away from emerging markets as investors seek safer and higher-yielding US assets. This can weaken emerging market currencies and lead to tighter financial conditions in those economies. 6. Broader Market Sentiment Inflation Expectations: Rising yields driven by inflation concerns can create volatility across all asset classes. Fed Policy Sensitivity: Markets may react negatively if higher yields signal faster-than-expected Fed rate hikes. Historical Context Periods of sharply rising yields (e.g., during taper tantrums or inflation scares) have often led to stronger US dollars, weaker gold prices, and volatile stock markets, with the Nasdaq typically underperforming due to its tech-heavy composition.
This is a Chart pattern with WEMIX, where we see significant purchases often followed by price drops. For instance, on September 16, 2023, there were 29 bars before a notable price surge, and similarly, on November 14, 2024, a pump occurred after 28 bars. This raises the question of whether this is a recurring trend? Leave your comments below
Hello, OANDA:XAUUSD is currently testing the 1M pivot point (PP). If the price breaks and holds below the 1M PP, it is likely to test the 1M support structure. Conversely, if the price finds support at the 1M PP, we may see further upward movement toward 2790.23. A sustained break above 2790.23 could signal additional upside potential. No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost TradeWithTheTrend3344
Went long here with dec 27 130c of course well need the rest of the market to hold including all mighty $NVDA. Nancy Pelosi was just got admitted to the hospital so I'm buying her for since she's busy. ?
NYSE:QBTS appears to be consolidating between $4 and $5 a share. Lots of buzz right now in the quantum computing space. D-wave has been in the headlines quite a bit along with NASDAQ:NVDA and NASDAQ:RGTI These stocks are generating a staggering amount of daily volume. Which is great when attracting the FOMO crowd! Looking for a breakout after this closes above the recent highs of $5.38 (with relatively higher volume). If it misses the breakout then I suspect we're in for another cycle of down/up oscillation. Primary support is at ~$4.15 with the secondary major support at ~$2.77 secondary. If this bounces down prior to a breakout, there will probably be opportunities to buy on a dip probably in the $4.20 - $4.60 range. As with anything with a lot of volatility, hang on to your seats!
A break out of a consolidation that’s been going on for weeks. Will def. Send price higher.
GBP/JPY: 24-Hour Market Sentiment and Trade Analysis I spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more. Market Overview (Last 24 Hours): - OANDA:GBPJPY is trading near your sell entry point at 194.027, showing signs of bearish momentum on the 15-minute chart. - Weakness in GBP reflects recent concerns over the UK’s economic data, while the yen benefits from safe-haven flows as risk sentiment deteriorates. Technical Overview: - Support Levels: 193.458 (TP1), 192.904 (TP2) - Resistance Levels: 194.298 (SL), 194.500 - Indicators: Bearish divergence on RSI supports the sell bias, while MACD on the 15-minute chart confirms downward momentum. Price is also testing a descending trendline. Fundamental Catalysts: - Economic Data: Recent UK retail sales data showed weaker-than-expected performance, pressuring GBP lower. - Geopolitical Events: Risk-off sentiment globally has bolstered the yen, driving safe-haven demand. - Liquidity: Volatility on GBP/JPY remains elevated, providing trading opportunities on the 15-minute timeframe. Planning: - Bearish Continuation: A sustained break below 193.800 could lead to TP1 (193.458) and potentially extend to TP2 (192.904). - Reversal Risk: A rebound in GBP or broader risk-on sentiment could test the SL at 194.298 or higher. Key Data Points Table: | Pair | Entry | SL | TP1 | TP2 | Catalyst | |----------|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------------------------| | GBP/JPY | 194.027 | 194.298 | 193.458 | 192.904 | Weak UK data, safe-haven flows | Sentiment Heatmap: - Market sentiment is mixed, with yen strength driven by risk aversion and GBP facing pressure from weak fundamentals. Note: - This setup is ideal for a **short-term scalp** or **day trade**, targeting quick movements within the 15-minute timeframe. When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, We’ll Brave It All!
*This is a risky trade since if it breaks support it can take us to very low levels, which is why an appropriate stop loss must be used. We are in a support between 1.042 and 1.045 that is holding up very well until now. Now that time has passed, it seems we are close to breaking 1.05 and will remain there in the following days. It is necessary to give the trade time of around 6 to 14 days to reach the targets. Targets: T1: 1.059 - 1.060 (protect or take partial) T2: 1.065 (close - 6 days) T3: 1.080 (close - 14 days)
A textbook spike trade... that's why! Every morning the stock market open gives us opening volatility spikes on the first 30 minute bar. Most are noise but when that rare one comes along that fits my rules AND has multiple matching confluences... it's time to "Strike at the Spike!" This setup has going for it: At a 50% Retracement of the recent trend (from November 18 - December 4) At the top of a Gap Level At the Volume Profile Point-of-Control for the last year of price action (see below) With a Spike that my indicator shows >80% ATR Clearance I consider the baseline for a trade; this one is 150% so it definitely fits the rules. I would take a spike if there were only 2 of those matching levels above. Targeting the local high for the first take profit at 834. Here is the Daily chart for just how key this level is: https://www.tradingview.com/x/hrVe5zdv/ Full disclosure: NYSE:LLY is and has been one of my biggest holdings; having owned the stock for over a decade.
$Grass seems to want to test for a while. After test, it is possible to take the old ATH again for the win. For now, the top seems to be enough. But we will definitely go higher when the alt season starts. Be kind to the world and each other.