As we predicted, the small crab (retail traders) jumped from the ocean depths (high VIX zone) but failed to break the golden resistance at 29 due to panic and stress. https://www.tradingview.com/chart/VIX/KeiYABnR-VIX-Angry-Crab-Is-Set-to-Spike/ Now the mother crab (institutions) is preparing to surface. If successful, this could crush the VIX and dramatically shift market sentiment - just like we originally envisioned in our crab market theory."
OANDA:EURJPY first analysis attached, in new analysis, we have new structures created (BULLISH FLAG, ZONE, TREND LINE), both pairs dominant in market, personally here still bullish i am. SUP zone: 160.350 RES zone: 163.400, 164.100
Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada. This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post. please consult your financial advisor before taking any action. ----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
The Japanese yen is expected to strengthen by approximately 7% against the US dollar, according to Morgan Stanley. This prediction comes as a response to potential weakening economic data and the increasing likelihood of a US recession due to recent reciprocal tariff announcements. Morgan Stanley’s team, which includes Koichi Sugisaki and David Adams, suggests two long yen trades with revised targets. First, they recommend shorting USD/JPY at 146.40 with a target of 135, down from the previous target of 145, and a stop at 151. The second recommendation is to short CHF/JPY at 171.30 with a target of 160 and a stop at 180.
Analysis of gold trend: After gold experienced this round of decline in the first two trading days of this week, is the bull market still there? Can gold still rise? Has the upward trend changed? This is a topic of concern to all investors. Today, I will talk about my views from several aspects! First of all, gold’s current decline this week is due to the exhaustion of the good news, and the decline caused by the main players taking the opportunity to enter the market at a high level. This method is not uncommon. This happened several times during last year’s sustained rise. However, as long as the fundamental long-term support logic remains unchanged and the long-term good news remains, gold will still keep rising. Therefore, this sharp decline is difficult to continue and will not change the upward trend of gold. The only factor that changes the upward trend of gold is the change in the logic of fundamental support, which is not the case at present. From today's Wednesday Asian market performance, our logic has been verified. Secondly, the global economy is in a serious downturn, and Trump's tariff increase is just adding fuel to the already plummeting US. In fact, whether Trump increases tariffs or not, the plummeting of US stocks is inevitable. The plunge will inevitably cause a huge blow to the global capital market and investment market, and the impact transmitted to the real economy and global trade will continue to have a serious impact on the global economy. The economy will further decline, followed by the dual impact of inflation and deflation, and economic recession. Therefore, some institutions or predictions have set the expected target of gold prices at $3,200 in the future. Now it seems a bit unacceptable, but this is by no means alarmist, but what is happening! Today's support is around 3100, and the operation is mainly long. The upper side first pays attention to the previous high resistance of 3175, and further pays attention to the resistance of 3180.
Hello again degenerates, I promise you i am trying to make shorter videos hehe, but in this video I had to explain 2 scenarios that I can see happening, I give you some insight on what to be careful on both scenarios, and I go back to our SPY chart to do a quick review of how it support our scenarios. Let me know what you think!
In my mind the rally was a C wave and likely ended yesterday. I would expect bigger players to get out while prices are still high. Target 4600 - lower Monthly Bollinger Band area. If they get over 5400 something else is happening and I will update.
Now that we have reached the ATH on Gold, retail will jump in short. Ignoring there's a lot of liquidity waiting to get grabbed above the ATH provided by earlier shorter's stop-losses. We expect a liquidity grab drive till ~3,200 where a fade-away will unfold (fake out to the downside), eventually taking everyone by surprise and making a 3rd ultimate liquidity drive. It's possible to trade the fade-away to the downside (short) and then go long for the 3rd liquidity drive. ⚡️ Want to know more? https://solidsignals.xyz
ECONOMICS:USIRYY (March/2025) source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics https://www.tradingview.com/x/LctNuupT/ - The annual inflation rate in the US eased for a second consecutive month to 2.4% in March 2025, the lowest since September, down from 2.8% in February, and below forecasts of 2.6%. Prices for gasoline (-9.8% vs -3.1%) and fuel oil (-7.6% vs -5.1%) fell more while natural gas prices soared (9.4% vs 6%). Inflation also slowed for shelter (4% vs 4.2%), used cars and trucks (0.6% vs 0.8%), and transportation (3.1% vs 6%) while prices were unchanged for new vehicles (vs -0.3%). On the other hand, inflation accelerated for food (3% vs 2.6%). Compared to the previous month, the CPI decreased 0.1%, the first fall since May 2020, compared to expectations of a 0.1% gain. The index for energy fell 2.4%, as a 6.3% decline in gasoline more than offset increases in electricity (0.9%) and natural gas (3.6%). Meanwhile, annual core inflation eased to 2.8%, the lowest since March 2021, and below forecasts of 3%. On a monthly basis, the core CPI edged up 0.1%, below expectations of 0.3%.
Hi traders! Analyzing USD/JPY on the 1H timeframe, spotting a potential rebound within a descending channel: ? Entry: 144.35 ? TP1: 145.59 ? TP2: 147.29 ? SL: 142.993 Price is currently testing the lower boundary of a well-structured descending channel — a zone that has held as dynamic support multiple times. The RSI is in oversold territory, suggesting the potential for a bullish correction. If buyers defend this area again, we could see a strong bounce toward the midline and possibly the upper boundary of the channel. Wait for bullish confirmation (e.g., strong candle or volume spike) before entering. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Every trader must evaluate their own risk and strategy.